How Hot Weather Trimmed 2011 Corn Yield

How Hot Weather Trimmed 2011 Corn Yield

Shallow kernels, missing kernels and tip-back of ears are common in cornfields this year—not just in a number of Iowa fields but in other Midwest states too. That's what happens when it's too hot during silking.

Shallow kernels, missing kernels, and tip back of corn ears are common in fields this year. A few days of temperatures exceeding 93 F are "bad" for corn production, but consecutive days of the high temperatures are especially bad. When the heat comes as silking gets underway the negative aspect is increased.

That's how Iowa State University Extension corn agronomist Roger Elmore and ISU Extension climatologist Elwynn Taylor sum up the situation with this year's corn crop. Farmers aren't just seeing these conditions in a number of fields in Iowa, they're occurring in areas of other Midwest states too.

Figure 1. The outlook shows cooler than usual temperatures for Aug. 14-19 for northeast U.S. (also near the Pacific coast) and above normal temperatures are likely to the north and east of New Mexico.

Taylor calls the recent very hot weather that occurred through much of July and into the first couple days of August a "heat storm."

 

He says a break in the Midwest heat storm is a good thing, but is it good enough for the corn crop? "A few days of temperatures exceeding 93 F, like we experienced in July, are bad for corn production, but  consecutive days of the high temperatures are especially bad," he says. "When the heat comes as silking gets underway, as it did this year, the negative aspect is increased.

He adds, "Our mail indicates that ears did not pollinate well in at least major parts of fields across the Midwest and the locally grown sweet corn we have been consuming verifies that there are pollination problems this year. Many farmers reported silking problems in late July. Shallow kernels, missing kernels, and tip back are common in field corn this year. All of this unfortunately sounds similar to what we experienced last year."

Figure 2. The 8 to 14 day outlook (August 18-22) indicates a likelihood of warmer than usual temperature across the Corn Belt to the south of I-80.

Taylor and Elmore offer the following information and observations to help you diagnose the symptoms you are seeing in your fields this August. 

Understand how corn development is affected by temperature

As of Sunday, August 7, the weekly statewide survey showed 73% of Iowa's corn was in good to excellent condition, a significant change from 82% the week ending July 10 (USDA-NASS). The percent of Iowa's corn silking and corn in or past the dough stage as of August 7 were slightly behind last year but slightly ahead of the 5-year normal.

Some fields have reached the dent stage seemingly one to two weeks ahead of schedule. Remember though that kernels contain about 45% of their drymatter at dent and  normally another month is necessary to complete the crop's development. Fortunately the weather outlook for the next 10 days indicates that temperatures are likely to be on the low side of normal in the Corn Belt east of Des Moines, Iowa (Figure 1). The precipitation outlook shows a tendency toward normal for Iowa and neighboring states but less than normal rainfall for the areas further East, South and West. 

 

Figure 3. Accumulation of Growing Degree Days at Ames, Iowa from July 1 to Aug. 8.

Figure 1. The outlook shows cooler than usual temperatures for Aug. 14-19 for northeast U.S. (also near the Pacific coast) and above normal temperatures are likely to the north and east of New Mexico. 

Most areas in Iowa will have a reprieve from the heat during the next 10 days. That is, until about August 18 or 19. However, the reprieve will not restore the loss of potential crop yield that was incurred by faulty pollination or by the accelerated pace of grain maturity. Areas south of I-80 will likely return to above normal temperature (Figure 2) during the week of Aug 16-22. Precipitation will be normal to dry from west to east across the Corn Belt.

   

 

Figure 2. The 8 to 14 day outlook (August 18-22) indicates a likelihood of warmer than usual temperature across the Corn Belt to the south of I-80.

One year ago the higher than usual night-time temperatures after silking likely resulted in a yield reduction of about 10% (below that expected from the general condition of the crop). The high temperatures of 2011 have added more complexity to the development of the crop.

Heat and water stress at pollination of the 2011 corn crop have resulted in:

 

* Poorer pollination than was noted in 2010

* More hours of leaf-rolling of corn resulting is about a 1% yield loss for every four hours of rolling during the week of pollination and a 1% yield loss per 12 hours of rolling during other developmental stages of the crop

* The accelerated maturity following pollination appears to be more significant in 2011 to date than it was during 2010

Producers can estimate the accelerated maturity influence from computed growing degree days. On the Mesonet IEM Ag Weather/Climate Information site  simply select a weather station near your area of interest (they are shown on a state map or listed by nearby city) and begin the computation on July 1. Construct graphs for 2009, 2010 and 2011 if you wish to estimate the effect on your crop for comparison with the previous two years.

 

Figure 3 shows the normal growing degree day accumulation from July 1 to August 8 for Ames, Iowa as a red line. The figure shows a blue line of accumulation for 2009 that is below the normal and resulted in yields that generally exceeded the expected. During 2010 the accumulation was greater than normal and the yield was reduced by about 10% (in excess of other stress effects that the crops may have experienced).

The 2011 accumulation to date is about twice that of 2010 and the impact on yield may also be about double for the location shown. Remember, the accelerated accumulation of growing degree days shortens the time from silking to maturity and this generally reduces the yield because of a reduced number of days that the crop is gaining kernel dry weight between silking and maturity.

Figure 3. Accumulation of Growing Degree Days at Ames, Iowa from July 1 to Aug. 8. During 2009 the accumulation (lowest curve) was below the normal "red" line and the grain filling period was somewhat longer than usual. During 2010 the accumulation exceeded normal and the shortened filling period resulted in a somewhat reduced yield. The 2011 accumulation (top curve) appears to be about twice the 2010 amount to date. This graphic is a composite of three graphs generated at the Iowa Mesonet website. Choose "single site graphs" and enter the year, starting date (July 1 for example), and the ending date (any date between July 1 and the day of computation).

TAGS: USDA
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